Job Description

Job Summary

This director level position is responsible for developing and leading the Fundamental and Quantitative Analysis team responsible for tracking and modeling fundamental supply and demand drivers for domestic and international natural gas, LNG, NGLs, power and crude oil markets and for creating innovative risk solutions to assess risk and return of the portfolio, including asset pricing models, stochastic modeling and Monte Carlo simulations, Value-at-Risk (VaR) scenario stress testing, and liquidity analysis. In addition, this position is responsible for formulating, consolidating, and communicating a market Point of View and for leveraging that information to drive value creation across the enterprise.

Job Duties & Responsibilities

Build and lead the Fundamental and Quantitative Analysis team
Drive the design, development, and implementation of quantitative solutions to assess portfolio valuation and risk, including stochastic modeling, VaR, parametric VaR, VaR backtesting, scenario stress testing, liquidity analysis, and forward curve modeling
Develop Supply and Demand models for natural gas, LNG, power, crude oil and NGLs
Build and maintain natural gas pipeline flow models to anticipate constraints points, price dislocations, and arbitrage opportunities
Develop, calibrate, backtest, and maintain asset pricing models to assess fair economic value of real options, such as power and LNG tolling agreements, transportation contracts, natural gas storage capacity, LNG diversion optionality, and other structured energy products.
Coordinate with Risk and Trading teams to interpret, analyze, and model complex portfolio risk, including long-term structured contracts with imbedded optionality to ensure accurate valuation and risk assessment utilizing Monte Carlo simulations and/or closed-form solutions
Build and maintain Lower 48 natural gas production model for all key basins, evaluating initial production rates, rig counts, frac spreads, and decline curves
Build tools to manipulate large data sets and enable data sharing across Risk, Trading, and Marketing
Support digitalization and automation to facilitate and accelerate the flow of information across the business and minimize manual tasks
Provide direct and indirect supervision of personnel, participating in recruiting, development and training
Collaborate with internal teams for integrating the market point of view into strategic initiatives

Job Specific Skills

Experience in a quantitative and/or fundamental analyst role within a financial or energy trading organization (3+ years or equivalent), preferred, with a comprehensive understanding of trading, risk, and financial modeling, derivatives, options, and hedging strategies
Excellent quantitative skills and knowledge in statistical methods, operational research, stochastic modeling, and Monte Carlo simulation techniques

Strong foundation in the valuation of energy derivative products, including forwards and futures contracts, volatility, correlations, basis markets, and simple and exotic options
Capabilities for modeling structured energy transactions such as natural gas storage assets, pipeline transportation, gas processing agreements, heat rate options, and power transmission
Support pre-deal evaluations and computation of performance metrics for trade books incorporating risk characteristics

Experience in coding languages with enable data gathering and transformation such as Python, SAS, or MATLAB
Familiarity with ETRM trading systems such as Endur, Allegro, ZEMA, etc.
Advanced Excel skills such as pivot tables, lookups, and VBA macros
Previous experience with quantitative risk tools (i.e. FEA, Lacima, etc.)
Strong analytical skills with experience in building models and forecasting
Advanced reasoning and problem solving, strategic thinking capability with excellent communication skills to effectively convey complex ideas to internal and external stakeholders
In-depth understanding of the natural gas, power, crude oil, NGL and LNG markets, including value chains an infrastructures

Work with Origination, Risk Management, Trading and Marketing to produce and interpret modeled valuations and to respond to intra-day trading requests to price and evaluate structured transactions
Ability to provide on-the-job training, performance assessment, coaching, motivation, and career development to employees

Knowledge of administrative procedures and management principles involved in strategic planning, resource allocation, leadership technique, and the coordination of people and resources
Ability to work under pressure with limited supervision, to formulate and articulate solutions, and to explain and defend modeling assumptions and output

Continuous improvement and learning mindset, utilizing tools to streamline and automate work to boost efficiency
Ability to ensure all employees are operating within all Expand Energy, state, and federal guidelines, policies, and regulations

Education

Minimum: Bachelor’s degree in quantitative discipline such as Financial Engineering, Mathematics, Statistics, Economics, or related science and engineering fields - from accredited university 
Preferred: Master’s degree in quantitative field- from accredited university - Finance, Economics, Marketing, Business Management or related field

Experience

Minimum: 12 - 15 years related work experience in natural gas/LNG Industry
Hands on experience building and operating quantitative and stochastic models
Programming experience in Python, R, SQL, MATLAB, or similar
Knowledge of portfolio risk management principles
Knowledge of global energy markets, local regulatory agencies, public utility commissions, regional transmission grids, and natural gas pipeline systems